|To understand why Mr Trump's 1461 day presidency to end of 2020 was likely to be the most dangerous whomever ruled the wavelengths, BRI.school invites you to co-edit a 7 minute read on a short history of world trade in millennium 2 - see far right column. In Moore's laws maths -this period's exponential rise breaches singularity - for first one computer chip has more switching/analytic capacity than the human brain's cells- tenmoore.com - The Games|
INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 4 : special china thanks: BRI Belt Road IQ -need custom guide rsvp email@example.com normanmacrae foundation, DC-text 240 316 8157
Main reason for optimism is leapfrogging - thats when a society/place that was excluded from industrial age networks leapfrogs an old system to a new one thanks to 1000 times more COMstech than 1946; about a third of the world never had wired telephone lines, now almost all have mobile (text version); more than a quarter of the world never had electricity grids, now microsolar is linking in;. Prior to 2017 only Jim Kim open spaced this debated in DC: let's hope all parents and youth do now from usa to china to Rome, from Scotland to Argentina, from Bangalore to Haiti. from . G1 G2. Join Valuetrue.com and QBG -does your place have a JYK to celebrate global youth? futures of Liberty 1 & education 1
|Even as the 1960s moon race inspired the world, we need to understand how unequal the opporttunity to innovate had been - even in the 1960s as many as half the world's people had no access to electricity grids so they got their news of the moon race by word of mouth.|
Consider 1000-1500- until the last few years of this period , the known world was Europe-Asia and NE Africa; #BR8 the med sea was the main world trade waterway; places facing this sea increasingly developed win-win trades; moreover #BR7 the west asian border to med sea was the start of an amazing overland relay of traders which stretched all the way to china (the silk road was the greatest overland world trade route ever and to sustain its interfacing markets required positive cross-cultural bridging all along its route. Silks and spices from the Chinese end acted like a positive currency- there was much demand for them whose value naturally went up the further they were merchanted back to Europe. Everyone gained for this trading route- you can read marco polo's diaries- perhaps nowhere invested more in artistic celebrations of being a major hub of positive trade than his hometown venice in europe and the town he was asked to govern for 2 years in china Hangzhou which marco described as the great town of markets in the world.)
What happened towards 1500 that 2 long shipping routes were discovered by north europeans- the new world of the ameriucas to the west (#BR6 N, #BR10 what we now call Latin America), and a way of reaching the @BR2 South Asian coastal Belt (starting with the indian subcontinent) by sailing around africa. A ship captain couldnt affird such a long return voyage unless he goit what trade he wanted- soon this big ships were equipped with gun power and crews were pressganged or even enslaved. Next in the process was colonising. So it was that nations became big by pludering economies of other peoples places. Back in 1500 places economic size was corelated with population. Soon Britain grew at the expense particularly of the Indian subcontiuent. Mainly Britain and France colonised Africa too, Spain andPotrtugal colonised Latin America. North America was settled by a mixyure of Europeans whose declaration of Indendence in 1776 ended any attempt by Britain to colonise America, But we should note that the USA was built on a sort of internal colonisation - natives had theor places taken over and slaves were used to do most of the hard labour. In effect the old war's colonial ways casued the 2 world wars of the fkirst half of the 20th C. From 1946 most of the world's countries regained their independence but starting from (mainly undeveloped states - poverty that the colonia era had gtraped them in).
Ironically whule the UDA came to tghe resuce of the old workld and from 1946 helped relaunch the two biggest losers of world war 2 Germsny and Japan, american (not withstandiong thair family trees origins) had previously had little modern of knowledge of Eurasia but were pulled into peacekeeping and the cold war with russia through the sceond half of the 20th C. Whilst there was some understanding of the extraoerdinary progress japanese enginers made with electornics, civil and other enginnering, the rise and rise of the east and the often difficult bodrers that had been caused by British and Jpoanese colonisation of the region are not deeply studied by most Americans or their media. It should be the best news the world has ever seen that the fifth of the world in chjna tghat closed itself to the world for more than a centiry after Brfits has offered opium as a gtrading currency in 1860 is now as entrepreneurial as anywhere. With over half of tghe world's ;people facikng either the sout asia or east asia coastal belts, the opportunity the east is cfreating to win0pwin gtrade oin line with moore's ever increasing technology should make sustainable youth worlwdie the gfreatesty positive curency-invetsment the human race has ever mapped. But this is not how USA or the block of coungtriues ruled by the Euro have marketed transapfrently. Instead we are caught in the Keynsian crisis of economist not valuing the hippocratic oathes he had published as tghe final chapter of the ngeneral throy of employment money and interest. The 2020s are likely to make the system designs our tech spreads irreversible- will the end game be big brother extinction or little sister sustainability?
Friday, February 3, 2017
I enjoyed talking to you last night at the state house.
please tell me if i should come down to st marys to see if you and your team are interested in any of these worldwide collaboration projects on sustainability of economics and education
2008 norman's last future histi-y as op-ed for muhmmad yunus on how to avloid 2010s being a great depression decade
My family has been working over a decade now to integrate the keysnian/smith economics systems map by matching the bangladesh way developed by (rural privatization or what Jim Kim calls POP - Preferential Option Poor) empowering the world's poorest village women's communities -zasheem ahmed in glasgow and mostofa zaman in dhaka can list about 30 events we co-sponsored in this direction with participation of over 50000 youth (dvd, journals, book review clubs, entrepreneurship competitions, 2 birthday wish parties with yunus (and 80th one with sir fazle's family) where we sponsored travels of many youth ambassadors etc). I am summarising the 3 future collaboration networks now of greatest interest to all my family and friends
1 G20 student union clubs- these are being designed as youth and intergenerational spaces for discussing massive collaboration agenda china (xi jinping and jack ma) launched at China Hangzhou G20 2016- each year networks such as women20 youth20 green20 business20 have opportunities to update action solutions - 2 key years are 2018: argentina's g20 - the time for the south and latin america to maximise its students and enterprises impacts,
then a year later in 2019 india g20 - china's leader xi jinping has made it clear his legacy will depend on india-china goodwill youth and world trade infrastructure networks - i would like to ensure bangladesh is included
2 my scottish compatriot gordon brown with jim kim and jack ma launched www.eduvationcommission.org - 30 national leaders on future of education and youths .livelihoods; this interests me as my fathers friends tried to launch journal of social business with adam smith scholars, university of glasgow and muhammad yunus as a remembrance project of my father The Economist's Norman Macrae (in 2018 The Economist is celebrating its 175th year of mediating systems/markets that end poverty and hunger) - unfortunately yunus interest fell through- sir fazle kindly picked up the interests in 2012 when he convened a discussion on the relevance of my fathers keysnian work to his with the japan ambassador in dhaka
these days I am working as a volunteer with an intel "world possible" project linking extreme-need hubs -we are aiming to map all the most massive scaling small enterprise curricula (eg leapfrog models of financial inclusion and future blockchains) and we will be presenting this to sir fazle at brac and the education commission as soon as we find the right diary space - we will probably makeover www.sociabusiness.tv because all learning associates of intel need a companion web which has a permanent editorial viewpoint= or we could be cheeky and use economistuniversity.com - but my uk friends need to check whether the royal family would support that as much as they used to support yunus - eg charles wrote the preface to banker for poor and the number 1 microenergy laureates network enjoys his role as patnership as indeed grameen nursing college did when Princess Anne hoped yunus would sustain last mile nursing as a global womens movement)
3) Alibaba Group on Twitter jack ma (china's second biggest businessman and number 1 educator) is forming regional college partnerships alibabaUNI around the world - apart from the aliresearch.com portal at tsinghua university, the most advanced is with new zealand - i wish to form one with ABCD - namely state of maryland out of Anapolis, Baltimore black communities of thurgood marshall, Chesapeake linkedin colleges, DC- jack has already promised new administration 1 million new jobs connecting his ecommerce with local usa SME commerce- we need one USA region to be MA's trusted benchmark lead partner in this- for this region not to be MD-DC will be one of the greatest misse economic development opportunities ever and quite probably 4 to 8 years of trump will make every sustainability goals unattainable in the west ( cf Kissinger briefing )
- jack also signs up the world biggest environmental labs - cataloguing chesapeake environment projects around world's largest free watershed can be an easy sell to him if we find the right moment in his diary- we are being advised on that by brookings senior china scholar who is also briefed by henry kissinger to make sure chinese americans keep every goodwill relationship going between future of chinese youth and american youth - xi jinping has written a book on how sustaining half a billion chinese under 30 jobs needs massive collaboration with global youth best solution too sustainability goals
regarding 3) we already have some strong connections:
the thurgood marshall education system of west baltimore - al hathaway - has been recognised by pope francis
there are sporting team movements out of dc aiming to give back to baltimore - and we are connected with those who want to make japan olympics the most responsible platform ever
while we have relationships with anapolis legislature on its b-company leadership networks we dont yet have the optimal environmental or anthropology connections as well as overarching adam smith view of designing economics so that every small enterprise can happily and freely access markets
chris macrae norman macrae family foundation bethesda MD 240 316 8157 (text and mobile)