To understand why Mr Trump's 1461 day presidency to end of 2020 was likely to be the most dangerous whomever ruled the wavelengths, BRI.school invites you to co-edit a 7 minute read on a short history of world trade in millennium 2 - see far right column. In Moore's laws maths -this period's exponential rise breaches singularity - for first one computer chip has more switching/analytic capacity than the human brain's cells- tenmoore.com - The Games

  1. trump's 1461 days were natures, AI, SDG destiny's and most dangerous presidency this month's 3 greatest risks to under 30s goodwill webs and english-language edu- brexit, n korea and huawei (see keynesian analysis in next tweet)

INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 4 : special china thanks: BRI Belt Road IQ -need custom guide rsvp chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk normanmacrae foundation, DC-text 240 316 8157
Main reason for optimism is leapfrogging - thats when a society/place that was excluded from industrial age networks leapfrogs an old system to a new one thanks to 1000 times more COMstech than 1946; about a third of the world never had wired telephone lines, now almost all have mobile (text version); more than a quarter of the world never had electricity grids, now microsolar is linking in;. Prior to 2017 only Jim Kim open spaced this debated in DC: let's hope all parents and youth do now from usa to china to Rome, from Scotland to Argentina, from Bangalore to Haiti. from . G1 G2. Join Valuetrue.com and QBG -does your place have a JYK to celebrate global youth? futures of Liberty 1 & education 1
1:08 #2030now 3.19
0:39 0.31 1:40 1:02 1.21
...joy jk search 1........ co
Which is your top 100 jim kim video vote for end-poverty tedx wcg..Jim Kim2030nowjimkim2transcripts.doc2030nowjimkim.doc, where world demands women manage poverty why not development?
http://www.tedxwbg.com/ Sources for millennials Happy 2015 dialogues of pih on 1 Ebola 2 how to leverage technology to radically engage patients on health care; UN is 2015 year of all change to sustainability goals... support economistmooc.blogspot.com
Even as the 1960s moon race inspired the world, we need to understand how unequal the opporttunity to innovate had been - even in the 1960s as many as half the world's people had no access to electricity grids so they got their news of the moon race by word of mouth.

Consider 1000-1500- until the last few years of this period , the known world was Europe-Asia and NE Africa; #BR8 the med sea was the main world trade waterway; places facing this sea increasingly developed win-win trades; moreover #BR7 the west asian border to med sea was the start of an amazing overland relay of traders which stretched all the way to china (the silk road was the greatest overland world trade route ever and to sustain its interfacing markets required positive cross-cultural bridging all along its route. Silks and spices from the Chinese end acted like a positive currency- there was much demand for them whose value naturally went up the further they were merchanted back to Europe. Everyone gained for this trading route- you can read marco polo's diaries- perhaps nowhere invested more in artistic celebrations of being a major hub of positive trade than his hometown venice in europe and the town he was asked to govern for 2 years in china Hangzhou which marco described as the great town of markets in the world.)

What happened towards 1500 that 2 long shipping routes were discovered by north europeans- the new world of the ameriucas to the west (#BR6 N, #BR10 what we now call Latin America), and a way of reaching the @BR2 South Asian coastal Belt (starting with the indian subcontinent) by sailing around africa. A ship captain couldnt affird such a long return voyage unless he goit what trade he wanted- soon this big ships were equipped with gun power and crews were pressganged or even enslaved. Next in the process was colonising. So it was that nations became big by pludering economies of other peoples places. Back in 1500 places economic size was corelated with population. Soon Britain grew at the expense particularly of the Indian subcontiuent. Mainly Britain and France colonised Africa too, Spain andPotrtugal colonised Latin America. North America was settled by a mixyure of Europeans whose declaration of Indendence in 1776 ended any attempt by Britain to colonise America, But we should note that the USA was built on a sort of internal colonisation - natives had theor places taken over and slaves were used to do most of the hard labour. In effect the old war's colonial ways casued the 2 world wars of the fkirst half of the 20th C. From 1946 most of the world's countries regained their independence but starting from (mainly undeveloped states - poverty that the colonia era had gtraped them in).

Ironically whule the UDA came to tghe resuce of the old workld and from 1946 helped relaunch the two biggest losers of world war 2 Germsny and Japan, american (not withstandiong thair family trees origins) had previously had little modern of knowledge of Eurasia but were pulled into peacekeeping and the cold war with russia through the sceond half of the 20th C. Whilst there was some understanding of the extraoerdinary progress japanese enginers made with electornics, civil and other enginnering, the rise and rise of the east and the often difficult bodrers that had been caused by British and Jpoanese colonisation of the region are not deeply studied by most Americans or their media. It should be the best news the world has ever seen that the fifth of the world in chjna tghat closed itself to the world for more than a centiry after Brfits has offered opium as a gtrading currency in 1860 is now as entrepreneurial as anywhere. With over half of tghe world's ;people facikng either the sout asia or east asia coastal belts, the opportunity the east is cfreating to win0pwin gtrade oin line with moore's ever increasing technology should make sustainable youth worlwdie the gfreatesty positive curency-invetsment the human race has ever mapped. But this is not how USA or the block of coungtriues ruled by the Euro have marketed transapfrently. Instead we are caught in the Keynsian crisis of economist not valuing the hippocratic oathes he had published as tghe final chapter of the ngeneral throy of employment money and interest. The 2020s are likely to make the system designs our tech spreads irreversible- will the end game be big brother extinction or little sister sustainability?

Friday, March 3, 2017

day 42

dear david & friends  4 young chinese female graduate linguists TO's mentor me on why language matters so much to the half billion under 30s in china and the sustainable global youth friends they want to twin with worldwide -the problem everywhere is old closed education is designed to expensively obstruct the livelihood flows they want to help empower let alone massive peer to peer language development; other TO's try to search out partnerships in such open youth opportunities to multiply goodwill and deep community services

mathematically speaking, language sharing friendhsips among under 30s-  not weapons - is only way peace or sustainability will travel across borders in time- we of the elder generation have really messed up communications- this must be reversed urgently if human intelligence is to have any chance to breathe 

david back in 1994 you headed bradford business school's choice of global media professor sponsored by heinz and aligned to your life's research as engineer concerned with not compounding intergenerational risk; in the 23 years since have you come across any global media practitioners you would adise we most trust to the extreme media crises facing us today in west

one of the last connections you linked me into was among adam smith scholars who wanted to launch a new journal to open education languages of ending poverty and freeing conscious purposes of markets

I realise that didnt get movement - right now gordon brown is the person hosting the most extraordinary worldwide debates out of scotland on whether education will sustain or destroy youth- do you know anyone who could get me or some of my friends 10 minutes conversation with him- he has announced so many change education goals but not clarified where youth are supposed to linkin;; worse i cant even find out where sir fazle abed's family are supposed to link in

last 1461 days to start up the world again http://1461.tv day 42 


previously
Is there an Entrepreneurial Solution to Valuing[i] Millennials' Sustainability Crisis? by Chris Macrae

INTRODUCTION TO 2015's PLACE IN FUTURE HISTORY
Is it good or bad news that the amount Western nations spend on communications has spun exponentially up from about 3% in 1948 to over 25% in 2015?

Forty three years ago, I took up my first job at The UK National Development Project for Computer Based Learning and my father Norman Macrae's job at The Economist was mediating Keynes Hippocratic Oath of Economics as the System Design which aims to End Poverty.

While my youthful innocence saw student experiments with early digital learning networks as huge fun, my father spent the next 12 years debating the compound opportunities and threats of the coming Entrepreneurial Revolution[ii] of the net generation.

Today, I come to the same assessment as our 1984 book on how to prevent Orwell's Big Brother endgame[iii] - human sustainability will depend on whether we can design the web to be the smartest open learning revolution in every Keynsian-spirited way opposite to that of how tv advertising age[iv] during the second half of the 20th century:
  • dumbed down,
  • externalised risk onto the smallest or at the bottom of inequality's ladders (compounding risks at borders is the opposite of  valuing safety in a borderless world of networks valued as connecting systems)
  • surrounded politicians with single interest lobbies and short-term agenda
  • deviated continuous improvement purposes of markets (including the place markets of public servants[v]) from sustaining human goodwill, diversity and thriving community
  • professionalised zero-sum games of consuming up things instead of the above zero-sum opportunity of worldwide knowhow networking which multiplies value in use, as the modern-day father of computing John Von Neumann[vi] was the first to map: the intergenerational revolution of investing in a death of distance age needed to celebrate every transformational opportunity involving abundancy of open systems and societies replacing scarcity manipulations and short-term gamers
more references attached or www.erworld.tv 


[i] valuetrue.com - By the late 1980s I had access to two emerging globalisation databases. The first which I had contributed to with hundreds of projects from Asia and Japan was integrated by marketing models originally designed out of MIT and Harvard - Journal of Marketing Research  Vol. 15, No. 2  (May, 1978) Urban and Silk . There was plentiful evidence that advertising-led global brands could not sustain purposes that societies most wanted. My work at a consultancy at a Big 5 accounting firm showed the need to counter the audit of how much was extracted each historic quarter with an opposite impact audit of how value multiplying goodwill  compound sustainably.  Only this second type of audit with Bayesian models can  track goodwill spinning as much as  90% of the value of a service or knowledge-based company. Unfortunately these inconvenient truths conflicted with the monopoly control over the boardroom that Ad Agencies and the then Big 5 Tangible Accountants wanted to preserve with globalisation's biggest players. So they co-sponsored brand valuation algorithms to preserve these 2 monopolies. By 1999, I felt compelled to make a presentation tour of this crisis to marketing experts at Georgetown, Harvard and Dartmouth. I was told "you may be mathematically correct but nobody could get any funding to pursue such research". The next year, the social lawyer Margaret Blair chaired the Unseen Wealth Report  for Brookings. (Unseen Wealth) This concluded risks would compound unseen until or unless the missing goodwill audit was addressed with the same top decision-making attention as quarterly profit reporting. If you have doubts about the above- look at how many multi-billion dollar brands , eg Enron, collapsed the day after their brand reputation peaked. More seriously, whole sectors from dot coms, to failed nation states, to big banking have imploded because of the valuation crisis. Even in 2015, we seven billion inhabitants of planet earth are missing whole truth professions of goodwill and the opportunity to celebrate above zero-sum value exchanges representing how knowhow can multiply value in use unlike consuming up things . Ironically this inaugural speech of Obama https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzEajBQ9gmQ in early 2009  clarifies the crisis of exponential risks of sustainability spreading beyond banking to health, energy and education. Today the first 15-year phase of millennial goals is passed, but as yet no systemic sustainability auditing of the world's largest organisations is transparent. Could 2015 be a good year to empowering millennials to change this greatest mathematical error ever inter-generationally made?
[ii]  main surveys of Entrepreneurial Revolution in The Economist 1972-1984 and futures of suoerplaces of jiob creation is at online library of norman macrae--
[iii] Macrae N and Macrae C (1985) The 2025 Report, Macmillan Publishing
[iv] See triple special issue of Journal of Marketing Management on Brand Reality that I guest edited in 1999 or Journal of Brand Management Special Issue on Total Corporate Brand Responsibility Journal of Brand Management 10, 268-278 1 May 2003  . These are examples of where I used to host dialogues on risks of anti-social and uneconomic consequences of global brands spending up to a billion dollars a year of their own customers money in mixes designed to slow down innovation or confuse pricing or risk signals. Since my family has settled in USA; I now realise that vested interest groups use much less money to make single issues politically impossible to change whether this is to do with guns, carbon energy, or too big to exist banking, or how bureaucrats including a segment of lawyers and insurers pad services such as health with ever more liability and other costs. Notable research includes ypchronic.org whose millennials' network out of Harvard and their annual presentations at the UN on this extreme form of anti-youth economics; and Jim Kim for his contributions enjoyed by the first 100000 alumni of the Change The World MOOC (see x11) concerning combinatorial challenges to be mapped in transforming a whole value chain- globally economically and locally socially.
[v] Macrae N (1991) A future history of privatisation, 1992-2022 , The Economist 21 December 1991
[vi] Macrae N (1993) John Von Neumann, Random House

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