- big corporate and education economies that he didnt trust much looked from 1965 forward with moores laws era- he later did bio of von neumann which confirmed his biases
- big governments and education economies which he trusted even less having been an 11 year old in stalins moscow
- 7 billion peoples community rising economies if thats a fair name for what glasgow U alumni adam smith and james watt started exploring
|To understand why Mr Trump's 1461 day presidency to end of 2020 was likely to be the most dangerous whomever ruled the wavelengths, BRI.school invites you to co-edit a 7 minute read on a short history of world trade in millennium 2 - see far right column. In Moore's laws maths -this period's exponential rise breaches singularity - for first one computer chip has more switching/analytic capacity than the human brain's cells- tenmoore.com - The Games|
INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 4 : special china thanks: BRI Belt Road IQ -need custom guide rsvp firstname.lastname@example.org normanmacrae foundation, DC-text 240 316 8157
Main reason for optimism is leapfrogging - thats when a society/place that was excluded from industrial age networks leapfrogs an old system to a new one thanks to 1000 times more COMstech than 1946; about a third of the world never had wired telephone lines, now almost all have mobile (text version); more than a quarter of the world never had electricity grids, now microsolar is linking in;. Prior to 2017 only Jim Kim open spaced this debated in DC: let's hope all parents and youth do now from usa to china to Rome, from Scotland to Argentina, from Bangalore to Haiti. from . G1 G2. Join Valuetrue.com and QBG -does your place have a JYK to celebrate global youth? futures of Liberty 1 & education 1
|Even as the 1960s moon race inspired the world, we need to understand how unequal the opporttunity to innovate had been - even in the 1960s as many as half the world's people had no access to electricity grids so they got their news of the moon race by word of mouth.|
Consider 1000-1500- until the last few years of this period , the known world was Europe-Asia and NE Africa; #BR8 the med sea was the main world trade waterway; places facing this sea increasingly developed win-win trades; moreover #BR7 the west asian border to med sea was the start of an amazing overland relay of traders which stretched all the way to china (the silk road was the greatest overland world trade route ever and to sustain its interfacing markets required positive cross-cultural bridging all along its route. Silks and spices from the Chinese end acted like a positive currency- there was much demand for them whose value naturally went up the further they were merchanted back to Europe. Everyone gained for this trading route- you can read marco polo's diaries- perhaps nowhere invested more in artistic celebrations of being a major hub of positive trade than his hometown venice in europe and the town he was asked to govern for 2 years in china Hangzhou which marco described as the great town of markets in the world.)
What happened towards 1500 that 2 long shipping routes were discovered by north europeans- the new world of the ameriucas to the west (#BR6 N, #BR10 what we now call Latin America), and a way of reaching the @BR2 South Asian coastal Belt (starting with the indian subcontinent) by sailing around africa. A ship captain couldnt affird such a long return voyage unless he goit what trade he wanted- soon this big ships were equipped with gun power and crews were pressganged or even enslaved. Next in the process was colonising. So it was that nations became big by pludering economies of other peoples places. Back in 1500 places economic size was corelated with population. Soon Britain grew at the expense particularly of the Indian subcontiuent. Mainly Britain and France colonised Africa too, Spain andPotrtugal colonised Latin America. North America was settled by a mixyure of Europeans whose declaration of Indendence in 1776 ended any attempt by Britain to colonise America, But we should note that the USA was built on a sort of internal colonisation - natives had theor places taken over and slaves were used to do most of the hard labour. In effect the old war's colonial ways casued the 2 world wars of the fkirst half of the 20th C. From 1946 most of the world's countries regained their independence but starting from (mainly undeveloped states - poverty that the colonia era had gtraped them in).
Ironically whule the UDA came to tghe resuce of the old workld and from 1946 helped relaunch the two biggest losers of world war 2 Germsny and Japan, american (not withstandiong thair family trees origins) had previously had little modern of knowledge of Eurasia but were pulled into peacekeeping and the cold war with russia through the sceond half of the 20th C. Whilst there was some understanding of the extraoerdinary progress japanese enginers made with electornics, civil and other enginnering, the rise and rise of the east and the often difficult bodrers that had been caused by British and Jpoanese colonisation of the region are not deeply studied by most Americans or their media. It should be the best news the world has ever seen that the fifth of the world in chjna tghat closed itself to the world for more than a centiry after Brfits has offered opium as a gtrading currency in 1860 is now as entrepreneurial as anywhere. With over half of tghe world's ;people facikng either the sout asia or east asia coastal belts, the opportunity the east is cfreating to win0pwin gtrade oin line with moore's ever increasing technology should make sustainable youth worlwdie the gfreatesty positive curency-invetsment the human race has ever mapped. But this is not how USA or the block of coungtriues ruled by the Euro have marketed transapfrently. Instead we are caught in the Keynsian crisis of economist not valuing the hippocratic oathes he had published as tghe final chapter of the ngeneral throy of employment money and interest. The 2020s are likely to make the system designs our tech spreads irreversible- will the end game be big brother extinction or little sister sustainability?
Sunday, January 5, 2020
Thank you- Christopher/ Craig- happy safe & prosperous 2020s to all
Its a bit difficult to understand how world's systems and maps got to 2020 from adam smiths moral sentiments of 1759 but here's what little my family and friends can see.-all errors mine alone!
I am confident vincent views are much deeper culturally and technologically as well as celebrating "students as diamonds"- a slogan he and ban ki-moon have started planting across movements such as global climate adaptability http://www.gca.org and by the education foundation of tencent out of hong kong as well as (I presume) Jack Ma and Melinda Gates who are brac's most famous fintech partners at http://www.bkash.com a movement started by MIT and Dubai coders in 1996 with George Soros
my dad norman macrae who spent his working life at The Economist after being a teen navigating airplanes in ww2 over modernday myanmar, and 1945 last student class at cambridge mentored by keynes had the idea that there were 3 exponential valuations to map across oceans and continents as well as hubbed by islands
so yes delighted to meet anyone in glasgow anytime who might want to brainstorm who is linking into these 3rd maps ol old and new worlds- and eg whether this can help with glasgow hosting cop26 or the 5 nations of the 2 islands that spread empire's colonial Admin and never quite mediated the EU- dad was only journalist at messina 1955- it is sad that gordon brown as un education envoy valued sir fazle's work a lot in refugee and other contexts but because of illness sir fazle was not included in 2016 september un summit by 20 place leaders who most valued youth as #learsing generation
indeed as my father's greatest end poverty village hero as well as 1950s Glasgow U engineering alumnus, sir fazle abed died last month - so vincent chang who sir fazle appointed to connect university partners around the world knows much more than me or what could happen next- he asked whether Glasgow would want to meet or chat with him
On my first few of 15 trips to Bangladesh from xmas 2007 i became acquainted muhammad yunus before sir fazle- sadly yunus is impatiently the opposite sort of community builder to fazle abed and in trying to see whether adam smith scholars could launch a new economics journal (of social business) yunus took it over- he had been marketed by the clintons since 1988 so nobody in washington dc where i live understands how village girls actually built what my father called rural keynesianism across a continent - should not blame clintons too much as early as 1978 US congress was attacking my dads surveys on rural keynesianism as a communist plot
I guess coming from 5 generations of diaspora scots- on my mothers side including sir kenneth kemp who worked in mumbai with gandhi for 25 years- sir kens last job was writing up legalese for india's independence-- makes me very politically incorrect for those who believe we need one greatest nation. Dad was also a scriptwriter for Prince Charles speeches in Japan- Japan was the only place to honor dad for his valuation of their (and deming's post-war) engineering talents from 1962 as the way asians (two thirds of our species) could help all of us race to end poverty if we value youth (girls especially) as a win-win currency out of every place
happy 2020s " normanmacrae.net fazleabed.com & 20 economist blogs co-edited by student journalists eg economistgreen.com
chris macrae mobile text whatsapp +1 240 316 8157 washington dc
PS Chris will give vincent a copy of your book concise adam smith when we meet in New york Tomorrow Monday- i will order Craig's books- Many thanks